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Maths Classes 912

Five flips do not tell the whole story

A possible result is not a guaranteed result.

About 20 minutes Read · try · explain
Take your time. Speak, draw or write your answers.
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01 / UNDERSTAND

Here is what is happening.

A fair coin has equal probability for either side on each independent toss. That does not require exactly half the outcomes in every short sequence. More observations can help estimate a proportion, but they do not guarantee perfection. Use written example sequences; there is no need to toss small objects.

Pause. Make the idea your own.

Explain one idea to a partner, draw it or write it in your own words. Which part is an observation, an example or a question?

You can use a home language. No need to share personal experiences or finish everything in one sitting.
02 / MAKE IT YOUR OWN

Your little investigation

What you need

Paper and a pencil, or a partner to talk with. Drawing and speaking are welcome.

  1. Count H in these example sequences: HHTHT and TTHTH.

  2. Combine them and compare the proportion with each shorter sequence.

  3. Explain why three H outcomes do not force the next result to be T.

03 / CHECK YOUR UNDERSTANDING

After three H outcomes, a fair independent toss has what chance of H?

Choose one answer
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